Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 934.396062 1066.903316 1218.336798 1405.707762 1633.406946 1903.868295 2.253566e+03
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 749.999833 918.870653 1131.531463 1424.818176 1828.421556 2379.586166 3.217892e+03
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 639.357951 816.739807 1053.643681 1403.565549 1926.497854 2713.942020 4.066723e+03
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 576.507810 762.008390 1022.123720 1429.521752 2084.449096 3163.872076 5.252744e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 534.574227 727.680671 1010.237065 1476.675871 2278.962326 3721.570131 6.873631e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 493.835051 688.501714 983.488402 1492.472715 2420.697023 4225.585242 8.650696e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 453.251654 644.138148 941.693490 1474.154577 2494.327244 4618.012105 1.040482e+04
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 427.898389 620.084074 928.494670 1501.796509 2659.760528 5258.838711 1.326715e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 392.513294 576.362288 877.294294 1451.625812 2655.719267 5510.391531 1.517163e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 363.540021 540.370639 835.192659 1411.984061 2665.114163 5799.714076 1.747712e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 337.443936 506.918241 794.048803 1368.203440 2656.041259 6039.600916 1.985523e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 329.551381 503.272157 805.081126 1429.849308 2905.266274 7111.212940 2.729170e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 316.432414 490.522232 800.012540 1461.663647 3102.666652 8172.800459 3.705316e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 302.885883 476.029404 790.467815 1483.364195 3284.640444 9313.933040 5.063194e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 285.683764 453.514705 763.098506 1460.780435 3340.065417 10035.390841 6.363248e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 275.549865 442.951506 757.872690 1488.175134 3548.109072 11527.063895 9.165232e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 268.453200 437.337926 761.799606 1537.930633 3841.834072 13669.025742 1.459499e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 258.738699 426.015923 752.851982 1554.606226 4037.504995 15546.768982 2.219145e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 246.639683 409.277972 731.028178 1535.269611 4107.100005 16831.118268 3.104057e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 239.569616 401.727203 727.944926 1564.450023 4360.891475 19549.538699 5.504816e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 226.475752 381.564082 695.931840 1511.494193 4294.494446 20098.056282 7.129648e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 215.207584 364.376707 669.164391 1469.674812 4261.874835 20905.733837 9.799557e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 204.405261 347.540425 641.985666 1423.513284 4201.515151 21482.392584 1.323220e+06